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20 October 2016

markets, indices and meaningx3pwp50.pdfProfessor Denis Loveridge

Contact information

Denis Loveridge
The University of Manchester
Manchester M13 9PL
United Kingdom

Tel: +44 (0) 161 275 5921+44 (0) 161 275 5921
Fax: +44 (0) 161 273 1123
Email: denis.loveridge@mbs.ac.uk

Biographical information and Research interests

My Biography is set out on the main page: it will not be repeated here. On this page the
nature of my research is outlined. Participation in MIoIRs consultative work is exemplified
broadly in my work in the UK Technology Foresight programme (1995); work for the EC's DGXII
(1996), XIII (1993) and for the for the European Foundation for the Improvement of Living
Conditions, Working Conditions and Industrial Relations (2003); the Czech Republic's
foresight programme (2001) and for UNESCO (1999 and currently). However, most of my research
is a continuation of the work I did in industry from 1971 onwards and relates to the
evolution, often over many decades, of possible complex situations and how these may
characterize the unknown territory of the future. Anticipation of this kind needs much
learning, thinking and appropriate numerical representation, patience and persistence
without any pretence that this is done other than in the face of immense uncertainty and
'fuzzy' boundaries. My personal approach to this kind of endeavour has been and remains the
systemic notions embodied in the six themes Social, Technological, Economic, Ecology,
Politics and Values/Norms (acronym STEEPV); much of this is described in 'Foresight: the Art
and Science of Anticipating the Future' (2009). I use 'Ideas in Progress' notes, as
described by I.J. Good, one time of the University of Manchester, to set down ideas that may
change with time. These are not 'peer reviewed' and I take full responsibility for their
content; they are not all presented here but their presentation is the other main purpose of
this page. My formal publications are listed elsewhere.

'Ideas in Progress' papers

These papers make no pretence at being more than 'ideas in progress', for which the author takes full responsibility. They are written in the spirit of 'partly baked ideas' (as opposed to half-baked ideas, with which they should not be confused!) after the fashion described by I.J.Good in 'The Scientist Speculates', namely

"...ideas about ideas are 'partly-baked'... it is often better to be stimulating and wrong than boring and right".

Whilst the papers do not take this tenet as an excuse for licence at the expense of rigour, they are exploratory and the ideas may change as a theme is developed over time.

Some of the papers have been given at public or project meetings, others not. Where copyright arises it is indicated. You will need the Acrobat Reader, freely available from Adobe, to view the paper